Tories set to win with clear lead over Labour, says final opinion poll
A Survation poll had the two parties almost neck and neck as voters prepared to cast their ballots while ICM gave the Tories a 12-point lead.
The Conservatives remain on course to win the General Election with a clear lead over Labour, according to the final opinion poll of the campaign.
Ipsos Mori for the Evening Standard put the Tories on 44%, eight points clear of Labour on 36%, with the Liberal Democrats on 7%, Ukip 4%, and the Greens 2%.
Overall the polls have continued to paint a mixed picture as the campaign draws to its conclusion – with Theresa May’s lead ranging from within a single point to a double-digit cushion according to the final batch of surveys.
A Survation poll had the two parties almost neck and neck as voters prepared to cast their ballots, while ICM gave the Tories a comfortable 12-point lead.
Survation’s final pre-election survey put the Tories on 41.3%, with Labour on 40.4%, the Liberal Democrats on 7.8%, SNP on 3.6%, Ukip on 2.4% and the Greens on 2.3%
ICM’s preliminary findings in a poll for the Guardian put Mrs May’s party on 46%, up one point compared with a poll on Monday, with Labour unchanged on 34%.
The Lib Dems were down one point on 7%, the SNP up one on 5%, Ukip unchanged on 5% and the Greens down one on 2%.
A ComRes poll for The Independent gave the Tories a 10-point lead over Labour.
The poll had the Tories down three points on 44%, Labour down one point on 34%, the Lib Dems up one on 9%, Ukip up one on 5%, the SNP on 4% and the Greens on 2%.
Half of 2015 Ukip voters say they will now vote Conservative, potentially adding two million votes, or around 6% points to the Tory vote share.
But with Kantar Public the Tory lead was just five points, with the Conservatives on 43%, Labour on 38%, the Lib Dems on 7% and Ukip and the SNP both on 4%.
A YouGov poll for The Times put the Tory lead on seven points, with the Conservatives on 42%, Labour on 35%, the Lib Dems on 10% and Ukip on 5%.
On Wednesday, the Press Association’s poll of polls, taking in 10 results from the past week, put the Conservatives on 44%, seven points clear of Labour on 37%, with the Liberal Democrats on 8%, Ukip on 4% and the Greens on 2%.
